commercialanalyzer

Curinos Review Spring 2024

Retail banking fees are again under scrutiny. Our research shows that overdraft and non-sufficient funds fee revenue will continue their steady downward trend, as will credit card late fees and interchange fees. Taken together, this will make profitably serving the mass market even more of a challenge this year, particularly for community banks and credit unions.

READ TIME: 4 MINS

March 18, 2024

Curinos Review // Insights

Treasury Needs More And Better Data To Manage Falling Rates

As rates drop and profit compresses, we urge banks to embrace asset/liability management (ALM), funds transfer pricing (FTP) and the analytic intelligence of deposit behavior.

READ TIME: 7 MINS

March 18, 2024

According To The Data // Insights

As Rates Fall, Back Books Will Block Expense Relief

Relatively low-priced commercial back books present headwinds to meeting pass-through targets for falling-rate betas. Lowering rates on their balances would risk attrition, and replacing them could get expensive.

READ TIME: 1 MIN

March 14, 2024

Curinos Perspectives // Insights

Curinos Perspective: Deposit WAL – A Key Measure To Gauge Interest Rate Risk

Bank treasury teams focused on interest rate and liquidity risk management, business line teams focused on the competitive environment, and investor/analyst teams focused on bank valuation continue to devote considerable attention to deposit repricing betas, seeing it as the key interest rate risk (IRR) indicator.

READ TIME: 4 MINS

March 5, 2024

According To The Data // Insights

Banks May Have Turned The Tide On Commercial Outflows

After well over a year of significant outflows, commercial deposit balance levels stabilized in the second half of 2023. The average bank ended the year down 7%, but many managed to end up flat for the year and some even printed a little growth. What changed?

READ TIME: 1 MIN

February 29, 2024

Curinos Review // Insights

Curinos Review Winter 2024

Welcome to the Winter 2024 issue of the Curinos Review. The Year of Deposits. That’s how Curinos views 2024 – how to get them and how to keep them at a cost that preserves net interest margin and profitability.

READ TIME: 3 MINS

January 10, 2024

Curinos Perspectives // Insights

Curinos Perspective: Taking Stock Of The Rate Cycle And Its Implications

As expected, the FOMC held the Fed Funds rate unchanged at a target range of 5.25% to 5.5%. Current market expectations are that we’re at the peak rate for this cycle and that modest cuts will come through 2024.

READ TIME: 4 MINS

December 13, 2023

Insights // This Month In Commercial Banking

Challenge for 2024: Protecting Profitability Amid Low Margins

Curinos anticipates that competition for deposits will remain fierce in 2024 and, despite expectations to the contrary, the cost of commercial deposits will likely continue to rise.

READ TIME: 3 MINS

December 11, 2023

Insights // This Month In Commercial Banking

ECR Balances Have Been A Boon So Far, But Keeping Them Is Getting Harder

Attracting and retaining ECR balances has been a critical driver of success for banks with lower commercial portfolio interest expense cycle-to-date. But as rates have risen, so too has the shift in mix toward interest-bearing products. That could mean that more commercial customers will shift to paying hard-dollar bank fees and optimizing return on their cash.

READ TIME: 2 MINS

November 21, 2023

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