The Lock-in Effect Spells Opportunity for Home Equity Lending

For a solid majority of homeowners, refinancing a mortgage in today’s market would mean replacing a low-interest loan with a new one at a significantly higher rate. The result? Higher monthly payments, reduced affordability and a less appealing financial situation overall. This homeowners’ reticence is what economists call the “lock-in effect,” and it’s positioned home equity products (HELOCs and closed-ends) as a more attractive alternative to traditional mortgage refinancing.  

More than 75% of homeowners currently sit on a rate below 5% (see chart, left side), and with current mortgage rates hovering around 7%, refinancing would mean at least a 200 bp rate increase. That means mortgage rates would have to drop to around 4.375% before payment economics favored the traditional mortgage refinancing option (see chart, right side) – unlikely  in the near term. 

That’s what makes home equity products the smarter way to access cash. They offer homeowners not only the ability to preserve their low-rate first mortgage but also the flexibility and accessibility for how funds are used, whether for home improvements, debt consolidation or educational expenses. They also come with tax benefits. And clearly the equity is there. According to CoreLogic, total equity stands at almost $35 trillion, reflecting an increase of more than 125% since 2019.   

Home equity loans are perfectly aligned with todays’ market conditions. That could make today the perfect the time for lenders to educate consumers about their many advantages and to offer competitive HE products tailored to their needs.

With the large majority of existing first mortgages at rates less
than 4.5%, the opportunity is ripe for home equity lending.​

Source: LendersBenchmark FM Originations

Latest Insights

According To The Data, Insights

Retail Banking Decision-Making: It’s A Whole New World

Excerpted from the author’s keynote address at FinovateSpring 2026 on Ma...

According To The Data, Insights

Taking the Effort Out of Customer Onboarding: An Imperative fo...

Excerpted from the author’s presentation at FinovateSpring 2026 on May 8...

According To The Data, Insights

The Digital Conundrum: High Customer Preference, Lower Quality

As comfort with digital and remote delivery increases, so does the prefe...

Let’s turn insight into impact.

Connect with Curinos to see how our AI-first platform helps you accelerate impact, drive profits and grow with purpose.

Need to contact a specific team?

Sales Inquiries:
Sales@curinos.com

Accounts Payable Inquiries:
CurinosAP@curinos.com

Media Inquiries:
Marketing@curinos.com

Need to contact a specific team?

Sales Inquiries:
Sales@curinos.com

Accounts Payable Inquiries:
CurinosAP@curinos.com

Media Inquiries:
Marketing@curinos.com

Need to contact a specific team?

Sales Inquiries:
Sales@curinos.com

Accounts Payable Inquiries:
CurinosAP@curinos.com

Media Inquiries:
Marketing@curinos.com

Need to contact a specific team?

Sales Inquiries:
Sales@curinos.com

Accounts Payable Inquiries:
CurinosAP@curinos.com

Media Inquiries:
Marketing@curinos.com

Let's start a conversation...

Let's start a conversation...

Privacy Overview

We use cookies (including third party cookies) on our website to improve your browsing experience and analyze site traffic. These may include the use of third-party cookies, which process your data such as browsing behavior or unique identifiers.

We will not use non-essential cookies, including third-party cookies, without your explicit consent. You may grant or withdraw your consent for each category of cookies at any time.

For more information, please refer to our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy.

Your Consent Options:

  • Strictly Necessary Cookies – Always active. These cookies are essential for the website to function properly.
  • Third Party Marketing Performance Cookies – Allow us to analyze usage and improve our services.
  • Sale of Personal Information – Allow us to personalize your experience.

By clicking "Accept All Cookies", you consent to the use of all cookies as described above. You can also "Reject Non-Essential Cookies" or "Customize Settings" to manage your preferences.