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Curinos Perspective: FOMC 2H Outlook – The Implications Of Higher For Longer

The FOMC held the Federal Funds target range flat at 5.25% to 5.5%. As previously communicated, the Fed has tapered quantitative tightening by $35B, lowering the redemption cap from $95 billion per month to $60 billion per month.
READ TIME: 9 MINS

June 13, 2024

Curinos Perspective: Taking Stock Of The Rate Cycle And Its Implications

As expected, the FOMC held the Fed Funds rate unchanged at a target range of 5.25% to 5.5%. Current market expectations are that we’re at the peak rate for this cycle and that modest cuts will come through 2024.
READ TIME: 4 MINS

December 13, 2023

Curinos Perspective: Fed Holds Rates Steady Again, Home-Lending Pressures Continue

As expected, the FOMC has held the Federal Funds rate flat in a target range of 5.25% to 5.50%. But even as the Fed continues its pause, rates for home lending and deposits are likely to remain elevated. That’s because key inflation and macroeconomic indicators take time to play out, and a continuing tidal wave of low-interest renewing CDs will intensify the competition for rate shoppers.
READ TIME: 6 MINS

November 1, 2023

Curinos Perspective: The Risk Of “Magical Thinking” In A Fed Funds Plateau

We see complacency among many bankers who feel that a Fed plateau will ease pressures on deposit betas. Prior cycles show that betas keep climbing even after the Fed Funds rate peaks, and significant back books in both commercial and consumer are yet to reprice.
READ TIME: 6 MINS

September 20, 2023

Curinos Perspective: Fed Hikes Again, Banks Dig In For Higher For Longer

After a brief, one-meeting pause in June, the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the Federal Funds rate by .25% to a target range of 5.25% to 5.5%.
READ TIME: 8 MINS

July 26, 2023

Curinos Perspective: Fed Pauses, But What Lies Ahead Is Less Clear

Today, the Fed announced a pause in rate hikes, leaving the benchmark Federal Funds rate unchanged at 5.00% — 5.25%, while leaving the door open for future rate increases.
READ TIME: 9 MINS

June 14, 2023

Curinos Perspective: Fed Hikes Again – Implications For A Potential Plateau

The Fed raised the Fed Funds rate by another 25 basis points to a range of 5.00% to 5.25%.
READ TIME: 12 MINS

May 3, 2023

Curinos Perspective: Fed Keeps Up The Fight Against Inflation Amid Banking Sector Uncertainty

Despite the recent bank failures and market disruption, the Fed kept up the fight against inflation by raising the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5.00%
READ TIME: 12 MINS

March 22, 2023

Curinos Perspective: Key Considerations Amid Industry Disruption

There’s little doubt that the U.S. banking industry has been whipsawed by fast-moving events in recent days
READ TIME: 5 MINS

March 16, 2023

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