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New Primary Relationships At Fintechs Are Surging

Fintechs now account for 40% of new banking relationships, up from only 29% three years ago. That’s according to latest annual Curinos US Shopper Survey, which also revealed that only three brands – CashApp, PayPal and Chime – accounted for fully 60% of all new fintech and direct-bank relationships 

Chime has performed well over the last few years because it’s been a leader in providing early paycheck access and its overdraft/NSF policies are more customer-friendly. But the surprising emergence of CashApp and PayPal as primary-checking providers should be a cause for concern for traditional banks and credit unions.  

Consumers choosing fintechs are largely from the mass market, so they generally have lower deposit balances and are less profitable. But financial institutions can ill afford to cede the mass market because, collectively, it helps pay for the expensive branch and technology infrastructure required to support all segments. 

New Primary Checking Accounts Opened, 2020-24​

Traditional banking institutions are rapidly losing ground to digital competitors, most notably in the mass market segment​

Source: Curinos Customer Knowledge | 2020/2021/2022/2023 US Shopper Survey. Each year, the Curinos US Shopper Survey contacts consumers in more than 70 markets who have switched their primary bank relationship within that year. ​

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Nowhere is the mortgage shakeout more apparent than in the wave of mergers and acquisitions that have washed across the industry ever since interest rates started to rise. And that wave is occurring even though credit trends aren’t deteriorating significantly. Courageous buyers view the upheaval as an opportunity to enter new markets and then cut costs from overlapping operations. As these are early days, it is unclear whether these classic strategies to grab market share will ultimately succeed. If economic conditions deteriorate and credit trends weaken, some lenders may experience buyer’s remorse. What’s clear is that the industry’s trends aren’t showing any signs of recovery, with volume down 53.3% year over year. Market trends are showing lower weighted average FICOs (dropping from 760 to 745), higher LTVs (increasing from 72% to 81%). Both metrics are associated with a move away from the refinance boom and toward a stronger purchase market. This means that buyers can’t rely on new geographies to guide them to better times. Instead, lenders will need to keep charging ahead with efforts to optimize margins by using granular pricing strategies. They also must have a clear retention strategy for their mortgage servicing portfolio because recapture will represent a significant opportunity when rates start to come back down.

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