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Wealth Clients Were Late To The CD Party And Will Likely Leave Early

Wealth clients didn’t adopt CDs as quickly or as intently as their retail counterparts, and much of the money they did move could end up being a one-and-done.

More than 75% of upcoming maturities in 2024 are first-time issuances, which usually renew at a much lower rate than CDs that have renewed at least once before (see chart). But that doesn’t mean banking institutions should give up on the 9% of wealth deposit portfolios currently sitting in short-term retail CDs.  

Banks should capitalize on the high-touch, personalized engagement model that advisors have with their clients by proactively reaching out prior to maturity. While some wealth clients will want to simply roll over into another short-term CD, others seeking more liquidity (for instance, to invest in securities during an election year) may require exception pricing or promos that provide a similar yield in a wealth savings account. By making a range of deposit options available, banks have a better chance of retaining the funds while also being responsive to client preferences.

2024 Wealth CD Maturity Balances By Month

First-time issuances dominate and are much less likely to renew, but a proactive and personalized approach can help keep these deposits in house.
Source: Curinos Wealth Analyzer

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Nowhere is the mortgage shakeout more apparent than in the wave of mergers and acquisitions that have washed across the industry ever since interest rates started to rise. And that wave is occurring even though credit trends aren’t deteriorating significantly. Courageous buyers view the upheaval as an opportunity to enter new markets and then cut costs from overlapping operations. As these are early days, it is unclear whether these classic strategies to grab market share will ultimately succeed. If economic conditions deteriorate and credit trends weaken, some lenders may experience buyer’s remorse. What’s clear is that the industry’s trends aren’t showing any signs of recovery, with volume down 53.3% year over year. Market trends are showing lower weighted average FICOs (dropping from 760 to 745), higher LTVs (increasing from 72% to 81%). Both metrics are associated with a move away from the refinance boom and toward a stronger purchase market. This means that buyers can’t rely on new geographies to guide them to better times. Instead, lenders will need to keep charging ahead with efforts to optimize margins by using granular pricing strategies. They also must have a clear retention strategy for their mortgage servicing portfolio because recapture will represent a significant opportunity when rates start to come back down.

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