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Exception Pricing: In Wealth, More The Rule Than The Exception

At some financial institutions, exception pricing is being used on up to 88% of wealth savings and money market savings accounts – and on up to 95% of the balances. Published rates average just 1.44%, but when accounting for exception pricing, actual acquisition rates hover around 4.41%, and they exceed 5% for clients with the highest AUM (see chart).   

The effects can be consequential. Exception pricing can present operational and reputational risks to a bank. It can put a strain on internal resources because forecasts probably hadn’t accounted for such high levels of exceptions in a higher-for-longer environment. And it makes responding to competitive moves much more difficult because it confines industry pricing trends to a virtual “black box.” 

Even after the Fed begins reducing rates, exception pricing will no longer be the exception. That’s why understanding industry pricing across client segments is a necessary first step in creating a pricing discipline that balances growth with margin. Effective pricing strategies will also require identifying the elasticity of client segments and knowing where to up-price and where to down-price with the least amount of balance runoff as possible. And that in turn will require an exception pricing playbook based on solid wealth-industry data and the expertise to interpret it.  

Wealth and Money Market Savings Rates

Actual acquisition rates for wealth deposits is more than 3x posted rates.
Source: Curinos Wealth Deposit Analyzer, Curinos Standard Rate Data | Note(s): Simple averages displayed

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Nowhere is the mortgage shakeout more apparent than in the wave of mergers and acquisitions that have washed across the industry ever since interest rates started to rise. And that wave is occurring even though credit trends aren’t deteriorating significantly. Courageous buyers view the upheaval as an opportunity to enter new markets and then cut costs from overlapping operations. As these are early days, it is unclear whether these classic strategies to grab market share will ultimately succeed. If economic conditions deteriorate and credit trends weaken, some lenders may experience buyer’s remorse. What’s clear is that the industry’s trends aren’t showing any signs of recovery, with volume down 53.3% year over year. Market trends are showing lower weighted average FICOs (dropping from 760 to 745), higher LTVs (increasing from 72% to 81%). Both metrics are associated with a move away from the refinance boom and toward a stronger purchase market. This means that buyers can’t rely on new geographies to guide them to better times. Instead, lenders will need to keep charging ahead with efforts to optimize margins by using granular pricing strategies. They also must have a clear retention strategy for their mortgage servicing portfolio because recapture will represent a significant opportunity when rates start to come back down.

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